Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.Hikvision signed a cooperation agreement with many parties to jointly promote the digitalization of fishery scenes. On December 11th, Five units signed the agreement: Donghai Fisheries Research Institute of Chinese Academy of Fishery Sciences (referred to as Donghai Institute), China Institute of Fishery Machinery and Instruments (referred to as Fishing Machinery Institute), China Institute of Fishery Engineering (referred to as Fishery Engineering Institute), Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd. (referred to as Hikvision) and Boyan Technology Co., Ltd. (referred to as Boyan Technology). We will jointly promote the deep integration of scientific research and enterprises, build a joint research platform for scientific and technological innovation driven by "Industry-University-Research", achieve win-win cooperation, and help the layout and rapid development of fishery digital intelligence industry. According to the cooperation agreement, all parties will focus on intelligent breeding, aquaculture, fishing, processing and fishery resources and environmental protection, carry out joint research and industrial application of intelligent equipment, system engineering and data management, and actively carry out talent exchange and technical training by jointly establishing key laboratories, innovation centers, research institutes and other platforms, and jointly declare national, provincial and ministerial projects to enhance the collaborative innovation and application demonstration capacity of digital intelligence fisheries.The United Nations estimates that more than 1.1 million Syrian civilians have been displaced. The United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs said on the 12th that more than 1.1 million Syrian civilians have been displaced since the latest escalation of the situation in Syria. (Xinhua News Agency)
*ST Hetai set up a new company including integrated circuit sales business. According to the enterprise survey APP, recently, Yizhixin Technology Co., Ltd. in Fuzhou High-tech Zone was established. The legal representative is Haining, and its business scope includes: sales of special equipment for semiconductor devices; Integrated circuit sales; Internet of things technology research and development; Internet of things application services, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is indirectly wholly-owned by *ST Hetai.Zhejiang: By 2027, the output value of the province's industrial machine tool industry will exceed 150 billion yuan. The Office of the Leading Group for High-quality Development of Manufacturing Industry in Zhejiang Province recently issued the Implementation Plan for High-quality Development of Industrial Machine Tool Industry in Zhejiang Province (2025-2027). The "Implementation Plan" proposes that by 2025, the output value of the province's industrial machine tool industry will exceed 120 billion yuan, making it the highland of the national high-end industrial machine tool industry. Positive results have been achieved in the construction of the national advanced manufacturing cluster of East Zhejiang industrial machine tools, with 30 new "little giant" enterprises specializing in manufacturing and 50 new products. Form a number of application scenarios with national promotion value. By 2027, the output value of the province's industrial machine tool industry will exceed 150 billion yuan, the supporting level of key core technologies and key functional components will be greatly improved, and the level of integrated application will be at the forefront of the country.South Korean police: A compulsory investigation of Yin Xiyue is being considered. The South Korean police said on the 13th that they are discussing a compulsory investigation of President Yin Xiyue and considering a seizure and search of his communication records and presidential residence. The special investigation team of the National Investigation Headquarters under the South Korean Police Agency held a press conference on the same day, saying that the plan to detain and search the presidential residence in Hannandong, Longshan District, Seoul is in the "discussion stage". The police are considering seizing and searching Yin Xiyue's communication records. (Xinhua News Agency)
Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.Turkish regulators will block access to dozens of cryptocurrency exchanges.Turkish regulators will block access to dozens of cryptocurrency exchanges.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14